.
For those of you who cannot wait until June I thought that I would go ahead and tell you how the Supreme Court will rule on this question. (I am not an attorney, but I once had dinner with one.)
The decision will be yes, the ACA is constitutional.
The rationale will be as follows:
1. Clearly the government has a right to require a citizen to pay for health care via taxation. In fact, with Medicare the government requires a 20 year old citizen to pay taxes for health care that he will not even begin to receive until 45 years later.
2. The ACA mandate is a tax* by another name.
3. The court will not overturn a major piece of legislation on the basis of semantics.
A long shot: The yes vote will be at least 6 and the opinion will be written by the CJ.
However it goes, which ever side loses this argument will have their supporters outraged by the loss and they may find a silver lining in the fall election.
Check back here in June when I will either crow or eat crow.
*Perhaps it was not labeled a tax because its authors had promised not to raise taxes.
.
Friday, April 20, 2012
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Luke Jackson (Paul Newman) In “Cool Hand Luke” asserted that he could eat a large number of boiled eggs to which Dragline (George Kennedy) responded “did you have to say 50”.
ReplyDeletePredicting a SCOTUS margin upholding the ACA mandate is OK but did you have to say 6.
Remember, I said it was a long shot.
ReplyDeleteLong shot sure, but Luke did eat the 50 eggs.
ReplyDelete