2012 Candidates - August - 2011

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Here are some possible candidates for the major party nominations for president in 2012.
The sequences in parentheses are my wild guesses about the percentage chance that each of them had monthly, Jan-current month, of getting the nomination. My principal reaction to each is listed afterword. If you will point out stuff to me I can improve this description over time.
The YAMSLT test can be found here.

Remember I am not a professional at this, just an interested citizen.

DEMOCRATIC
Barack Obama (99) I will consider him again, but he is worrying me.

REPUBLICAN
Mitt Romney (25-25-26-24-25-30-30) I would consider him. Some say he has a problem in that the Romney health plan in MA is similar to Obama’s national plan. Some say that it is therefore a contradiction for Romney to oppose Obamacare. I think not and I now think he can make the case.
Rick Perry (x-x-x-x-x-x-06-22)Seems more and more like a candidate. Would be a strong one. But is America ready for another brash Texas Governor? Is his jobs record that good? If he enters, it will quickly become a two person race: Romney-Perry.
Tim Pawlenty (05-07-08-16-14-20-25-15) - I would consider him. A serious person. Apparently did not pick up Daniels's support.
Michelle Bachman (x-x-x-01-01-10-20-13) A lightweight. Fails YAMSLT

Jon Huntsman (x-x-1-1-01-05-06-04) As I know him more, I like him more. I would consider him. Seems like serious people take him seriously. I don't see how he wins the nomination though.
Sarah Palin (20-20-21-16-16-19-3) - She is playjng games. Fails the YAMSLT.
Ron Paul (x-x-x-x-01-02-03-03)

Herman Cain (x-x-x-x-x-x-01-01) Has a long way to go to be a serious cand.
Newt Gingrich (4-4-4-4-03-03-01-01) - I would have considered him but he abandoned the 1st amendment. ……… his position on Park 51 not only that they should not, but that Muslims do NOT even have the right to, build there.
Rick Santorum (x-x-x-01-02-01-01-01) - Too far right for me. Fails the YAMSLT.
Gary Johnson (x-x-x-x-01-01-01-01) Will highlight the drug prohibition issue.

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