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Sunday, May 1, 2011

2012 Candidates - May-2011

Here are some possible candidates for the major party nominations for president in 2012.
The sequences in parentheses are my wild guesses about the percentage chance that each of them had monthly, Jan-May, of getting the nomination.
My principal reaction to each is listed afterword. If you will point out stuff to me I can improve this description over time.
The YAMSLT test can be found here.

Remember I am not a professional political observer, just an interested citizen.

Democratic
Obama (99) I would consider him.

Republican
Mitt Romney (25-25-26-24-25) I would consider him. Some say he has a problem in that the Romney health plan in MA is similar to Obama’s national plan. Some say that it is therefore a contradiction for Romney to oppose Obamacare is. I think not. But I don't know if he can make the case.
Mike Huckabee ( 25-20-21-18-18) - Fails the YAMSLT. Is he running?
Sarah Palin (20-20-21-16-16) - A lightweight. Fails the YAMSLT.
Mitch Daniels (15-15-16-16-16) - I would consider him. A serious person.
Tim Pawlenty (5-7-8-16-14) - I would consider him. A serious person.

Newt Gingrich (4-4-4-4-3) - I would have considered him but he abandoned the
1st amendment. ……… his position on Park 51 not only that they should not, but that Muslims do NOT even have the right to, build there.
Rick Santorum (x-x-x-01-02) - Too far right for me. Fails the YAMSLT.
Michelle Bachman (x-x-x-01-01) A lightweight. Fails the YAMSLT.
Bobby Jindal (1-1-1-1-1)- Fails the YAMSLT.
Jim Demint (1-1-1-1-1) - Too far right for me.
Jon Huntsman (x-x-1-1-01) Don't know him.
Gary Johnson (x-x-x-x-01) Will highlight the drug prohibition issue.
Ron Paul (x-x-x-x-01) (sorry I forgot him before)
Donald Trump - (x-x-x-x-00)- Will not be a credible candidate.

Haley Barbour –(0-0-0-0-out (as predicted here in February)
John Thune -Says he’s not running.
Mike Pence – Says he’s not running.
Chris Christie – Says he’s not running. I would have considered him.

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